The Sociological Research Center (CIS) has released this Monday its last barometer of the year, corresponding to the month of December, at a turbulent moment in political life due to a growing confrontation on the eve of the end of the parliamentary course, which is This week will see the final approval of the General State Budgets for 2021.
Sánchez recovers some of the bellows when the PSOE this month experienced a rise of four tenths (28%) compared to the November barometer. Pablo Casado’s PP is left one tenth (20.8%) in the December poll, while Vox gains 0.3% (14.6%). United We can also improve one tenth (13.7%), as did Ciudadanos, which went from 5.7% in November to 5.9% this month.
The only one of the greats who loses votes
The PP is the only one of the four major parties that has lost votes in the last month, according to the CIS Barometer for December, which was published this Monday, and with its decline added to the rise of the PSOE it would lose half a percentage point with respect to the Socialists, of which it remains at 7.2 points.
According to the Barometer’s vote estimate, the PSOE would win a general election that would have been held at the beginning of this month with 28% of the votes, four tenths more than in November; the PP is still mortgaged by the internal division with the party in Madrid and would lose one tenth and would remain at 20.8%; Vox would rise three to 14.6% and Unidos Podemos would rise another to 13.7%.
With this new rise of Vox and Unidas Podemos, which reflects the echoes of the one they already experienced in November, Santiago Abascal’s party obtains the highest vote estimate since the regional elections in Madrid on May 4, which launched the PP at the national level in the heat of the victory of Isabel Díaz Ayuso, while the space led by the second vice president of the Government, Yolanda Díaz, reaches its best expectation in the entire legislature.
Ciudadanos would also register a rise, by two tenths, to stand at 5.9% of the votes, while Más País and Compromís would experience a fall of almost one point, from 3.1% to 2.2%, returning to figures that have not fallen since the Madrid elections in which Mónica García’s Más Madrid was the second most voted force.
This decrease in Más País and Compromís means that, when the two blocks are added, the advantage of the left over that of the right decreases, which is estimated at 2.6 percentage points: 43.9% compared to 41.3%. In November, the accumulated voting estimates were 44.3% compared to 40.9%, a distance of 3.4 points.
Among the Catalan parties, ERC, which already fell half a point in November, lost another tenth to 2.5% of the votes of the total state. Another tenth is left by JxCat, up to 1.4%, and two the CUP, up to 0.8%. The same cedes in the Basque Country, the PNV, remaining at 1.2%, while EH Bildu remains at 0.8%.
Regarding the rest of the formations, the Pacma (1.2%), the BNG (0.6%), Navarra Suma (0.4%) and Teruel Existe (0.1%) remain as they were., The PRC gains one tenth (0.2%) and the Canary Islands / Nueva Canarias Coalition loses it (0.3%). The barometer was made from 3,733 interviews conducted from December 1 to 13, with a margin of error of 1.6%.