Provincial elections of 2019 in Álava, Bizkaia and Gipuzkoa

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Politics

Survey in the CAV

EITB.EUS

According to EiTB Focus, the jeltzales would improve in voting intention in the three territories of the Basque Autonomous Community.

EiTB Focus

The Basque Nationalist Party (EAJ / PNV) would win the provincial elections in Álava, Bizkaia and Gipuzkoa, improving its results from the 2015 provincial elections, according to the EiTB Focus opinion study carried out by Gizaker for Euskal Irrati Telebista.

The data is extracted from the macro survey what was done between the 14th and the 21st of last May in the three territories of the Basque Autonomous Community (CAV), practically one year before the municipal and foral elections.

Last week the results referring to current affairs were published (Case “La Manada” and “End of ETA”), yesterday those referring to the intention to vote in the 2019 municipal elections in Vitoria-Gasteiz, Bilbao and San Sebastian. Tomorrow will be published those referring to the municipal elections in Pamplona and the Parliament in Navarra. And today those referring to the intention to vote are presented in the provincial elections of the CAV.

The PNV would win in Álava increasing the intention to vote by 4 points and taking first place from the Popular Party.

eh Bildu It would also improve its voting intention by 2 points, placing itself as the second force.

The PP it would lose 4.4 points in voting intention and would fall to third position.

United we can would lose a point staying in 4th place, followed by PSE-EE which would also drop a point and a half.

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VOTING INTENTION IN ÁLAVA 2018 June eitb focus

This is the assessment that respondents make of the management of the current government team and the opposition in Álava.

EVALUATION OF DIRECTORATE MANAGEMENT ÁLAVA 2018 eitb focus June

EVALUATION OF THE PERFORMANCE OF THE OPPOSITION IN THE REGIONAL COUNCILS ÁLAVA 2018 eitb focus June

On Bizkaia the PNV It would improve its voting intention by 5 points, surpassing the 40% barrier and thus reinforcing its first position.

eh Bildu it would be consolidated as the second force with 19.7% of the intention to vote.

United we can, PSE-EE and PP they would present a downward trend losing between 1 and 2 points.

VOTING INTENTION IN BIZKAIA 2018 eitb focus June

EiTB Focus also offers the notes that the Biscayan grant the provincial executive and the work of the opposition.

BIZKAIA COUNCIL MANAGEMENT ASSESSMENT 2018 eitb focus June

ASSESSMENT OF THE PERFORMANCE OF THE OPPOSITION IN THE BIZKAIA REGIONAL COUNCILS 2018 eitb focus June

Gipuzkoa, is the territory where the highest PNV with 6.8 points more than in the previous elections.

eh Bildu it would remain as second force with 1.4 points more in voting intention.

PSE-EE, United we can and PP with losses of around two points, they would maintain the order of their positions.

VOTING INTENTION IN GIPUZKOA June 2018 eitb focus

Regarding the evaluations of the work carried out, these are the notes that Gipuzkoa puts on its Provincial Council and the opposition.

GIPUZKOA COUNCIL MANAGEMENT ASSESSMENT 2018 eitb focus June

EVALUATION OF THE PERFORMANCE OF THE OPPOSITION IN THE REGIONAL COUNCILS GIPUZKOA 2018 June eitb focus

EiTB Focus has also asked about the valuation of the three general deputies, lto management of the Provincial Councils usually, his work on particular issues and that of the opposition. These are the results:

ASSESSMENT OF GENERAL DEPUTIES 2018 June eitb focus

ASSESSMENT OF THE MANAGEMENT OF THE REGIONAL COUNCILS 2018 eitb focus June

COUNCIL MANAGEMENT ASSESSMENT 2018 eitb focus June

EVALUATION OF THE PERFORMANCE OF THE OPPOSITION IN THE FORAL COUNCILS 2018 eitb focus June

In addition to questions related to voting intention, the survey included questions about the assessment of institutional work and of the pacts between the PNV and the PSE-EE in Euskadi.

VALUATION OF THE PNV AND PSE PACT EE 2018 eitb focus June

INSTITUTIONS MANAGEMENT ASSESSMENT 2018 06 eitb focus June

Datasheet

1,750 people residents of the CAV (400 in Vitoria-Gasteiz and 150 in the rest of Álava; 400 in Bilbao and 200 in the rest of Bizkaia; 400 in Donostia / San Sebastián and 200 in the rest of Gipuzkoa).

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Em = ± 2.34%, 95 confidence level, p = q = 0.5, for CAV data, ± 4.18% for Araba data, ± 4.00% for Bizkaia data, ± 4, 00% for data from Gipuzkoa, ± 4.90% for data from Vitoria-Gasteiz, ± 4.90% for data from Bilbao and ± 4.90% for data from Donostia / San Sebastián.

Random sample stratified by Historical Territory, municipality, sex and age. 21.7% of the surveys have been carried out in Basque and 78.3% remaining in Castilian.

Total results weighted by population size of the surveyed municipalities.

The field work was carried out during the days May 14-21, 2018, by telephone interview.

The mean duration of the survey was 7.11 ‘, the shortest survey being 5’ and the longest 25 ‘.



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George Holan

George Holan is chief editor at Plainsmen Post and has articles published in many notable publications in the last decade.

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