As he traveled around Wandsworth in the spring sunshine, local Labor leader Simon Hogg did not want to predict the election result.
But he stressed how symbolic a widely tipped Labor victory would be for a council that has been run by the Conservatives since 1978.
“It’d be amazing. Personally, I’ve been working on this for 20 years. It’d be a huge relief and satisfaction for me,” he told The Independent.
“It would have national implications about Boris Johnson’s remaining appeal and the renaissance of the Labor Party.”
On the doorstep, the subject of partygate came up often, Hogg said. “We thought it was going to be a cost-of-living election. But when you go to people and talk to them, even without mentioning it, they just want to speak about the government and Boris Johnson’s behaviour.”
For all the speculation of a Labor win, Ravi Govindia, the Conservative leader of Wandsworth council, is convinced his party will cling on.
“I’m not worried at all,” he said, when asked whether he was concerned by the polls. In fact, the head of the council believes his party will do better in Wandsworth than it did at the last local elections.
“I expect us to do at least as well [in 2018], if not slightly better with the new boundaries.” As a result of the change, the borough will now have 58 councilors instead of the current 60, of whom 33 are Conservative and 26 are Labour.
While Govindia acknowledged that Partygate had angered voters, he expressed his conviction that people would cast their ballots based on local issues.
“It is a tight race, but it is a tight race in which we have the edge. The edge is entirely due to the fact that this is a council that people have loved and appreciated for 44 years,” he claimed.
Outside a polling station in the Wandsworth Town ward, Philip, an accountant who has lived in the borough for three decades, agreed with this assessment.
“Wandsworth’s always been a well-run council. Good services and a very reasonable council tax compared to other areas,” the 62-year-old said, arguing that the behavior of Boris Johnson was a “separate issue”.
Around the corner at a different voting station, Anne, an investment manager who has been based in Wandsworth for seven years, held a similar view about Partygate. “I think it’s journalists blowing it out of proportion to be honest.”
Like Philip, Anne said her vote would reflect her stance on the local area, which she believed was being well-run by the council.
However, their decision to vote on local issues alone is not a given. In a desire to differentiate itself from the scandal-hit government, Wandsworth Conservatives decided to brand itself “Local Conservatives” in all its election advertising, one Tory campaigner said.
Speaking anonymously, they also admitted that the rebrand had extended to changing the color of campaign posters slightly. “It’s less blue than usual,” they said.
For some people, like lifelong Wandsworth resident Mark, Boris Johnson nonetheless looms large over this election. “The man is a clown,” he said.
I have added that a Labor victory was possible in the current political climate. “I’ve lived here all my life and I never thought Putney would turn red – and it has done. I think if things are going to change in Wandsworth, they’ll change now.”
Katia and Helen Themistocleous, 42 and 45, who have been Wandsworth residents for more than 17 years, typically vote Conservative. However, they now feel disillusioned with the party, saying issues such as housing and security needed to be improved in the local area.
“The Conservatives have been in power locally for a long time and they’ve become too complacent,” Helen said. “I certainly feel that change is needed.”
“Their planning isn’t really strategic enough for the issues individuals are going through,” she added, noting that people were struggling to pay bills amid the cost of living crisis.
Helen said Partygate had diminished the government’s standing in her eyes, before giving her low opinion of politicians in general: “If someone else was in power, they’d have done exactly the same thing.”
In the north London borough of Barnet, where the Conservatives are also trying to retain power, political cynicism was also apparent.
For example, Finn, 26, said he would not vote. “Once the government is stuck in its ways, the public feels like there’s nothing they can do,” I explained.
“When I was growing up we used to have centers and afternoon clubs where you would see around 20 to 30 kids. But there’s nothing like that anymore,” Finn added.
“There’s no guidance for young people. That’s why you see 12-year-olds hanging out with olders with knives.”
For Susan, 60, the difficult thing was knowing which party to support. “I believe in holistic politics which takes in not just the people but the environment,” she said.
“That’s why I normally vote Green, but not many people vote for them. So I’m left with the two main parties and I don’t trust either of them.”
Both Labor and the Conservatives hope they will do enough to convince people like Susan to lend them their vote, so that they can edge to victory in marginal boroughs like Barnet and Wandsworth.
George Holan is chief editor at Plainsmen Post and has articles published in many notable publications in the last decade.