Covid cases are now nearly 200,000 a day and infections are rising, new data suggests


Data from the ZOE study estimate the current R-value to be 1.1 for England, Scotland, and Wales. It also shows that in England 1 in 27 have Covid, with 1 in 38 in Wales and 1 in 40 in Scotland.

Professor Tim Spector
Professor Tim Spector leads the ZOE study

Covid cases across the UK have risen by 22 per cent since last week and are at nearly 200,000, data from the ZOE study has revealed.

The figures, which are based on PCR and LFT test data, also estimate the current R-value to be 1.1 for England, Scotland and Wales.

There are currently 195,069 daily new symptomatic coronavirus cases in the UK on average, based on testing data from up to three days ago, which is a 22 per cent increase from the 159,486 reported last week.

Of these, those who were vaccinated with at least two doses made up 71,477 of the new daily symptomatic cases in the UK, up from 54,992 new daily cases last week.

The study also shows that in England 1 in 27 has covid, 1 in 38 in Wales and 1 in 40 in Scotland.

The results of the ZOE COVID Study incidence figures in the UK over time
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Image:

ZOE COVID Study)

It also reveals that cases are now increasing in all age groups, but the increase is much smaller in the 55+ age groups, particularly in the most vulnerable 75+ group, the increase is very small.

Based on the data, ZOE estimates that 40 percent of people experiencing new “cold-like” symptoms are likely to have symptomatic Covid.

Professor Tim Spector, Principal Scientist for the ZOE COVID Study app, said: “While the bad news is that we are once again approaching 200,000 new cases per day, it is encouraging that recorded hospitalisations, ICU cases and deaths continue to decline as Omicron is less severe. in a vaccinated population.

“With a lag of several weeks between infections and hospitalizations, we will continue to closely monitor this rate in the coming weeks.

“We saw a similar rebound and second spike during the Delta wave as people relaxed more and children went back to school.

Incidence by age group
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Image:

ZOE COVID Study)

“It seems that many, again, are getting ahead of the end of the Covid-19 pandemic.

“It’s too early for this.

“High case rates are likely to see us through late spring before warmer weather and summer vacations help bring infections down again.”

He added: “In recent weeks, the UK government’s confirmed case data has started to move further away from the ZOE findings.

“There are a number of reasons for this.

“The biggest factor is the change in testing behavior that has occurred this year.

“ZOE collaborators now register more positive LFTs in the app and fewer PCRs.

“LFTs no longer have to be confirmed by a PCR, so they are often not registered with the government, so confirmed case data is missing thousands of LFT results, leading to massive under-registration.

“This subtle but important change in behavior highlights the importance of having multiple methods to track COVID in the population and shows the power of citizen scientists connecting with ZOE every day.

“The way ZOE collects and analyzes the data means that our data is consistently ahead of other national surveys that are just beginning to show increases.”

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www.mirror.co.uk

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George Holan

George Holan is chief editor at Plainsmen Post and has articles published in many notable publications in the last decade.

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