Castilla y León opens an uncertain scenario of ungovernability with crossed vetoes between the parties called to negotiate

The meager victory of the PP in the elections of Castilla y León, ten seats away from the absolute majority, leaves a scenario that leads to ungovernability and there are even those who already pronounce these words: repetition of elections. If no one moves from their starting positions, there is no way to move towards a investiture of the winner of the 13F, Alfonso Pérez Mañueco. It is true that only two days have passed and now the different formations that have to negotiate start from the most extreme positions and the greatest demands. It is more than likely that the margins to reach an agreement will be modulated and widened towards an understanding, but if this is not the case and the parties maintain what has been said so far, The accounts will not work out for Mañueco and he would plan the shadow of the electoral repetition that he himself has said or has in mind.

The ‘popular’ can only be made president by Vox and the PSOE because they are the only two forces with which the absolute majority is given. At the moment, without the winner of the 13F having sat down with anyone to talk, the matches prevail crossed vetoes that make any agreement impossibleneither looking at the PP to his right nor looking to his left.

The PP-Vox sum does not come out because the ‘popular’ refuse a coalition government with the formation of Santiago Abascal and this Tuesday they have been crystal clear in their rejection, and the PP-PSOE sum is not possible either because the socialists, to start talking and “understanding” in a possible abstention in Castilla y León, They ask that the PP break “in all communities” with Voxin reference to the Community of Madrid, the Region of Murcia and Andalusia, which would open up such crises in those regions that it is almost impossible to even consider it as a real option.

Sánchez and Casado establish positions that go beyond Castilla y León

The positions, in addition, have been set by the President of the Government himself, Pedro Sánchez, and the leader of the PP, Pablo Casado, the first in an intervention in the Senate and the second before his national Executive meeting in Genoa, precisely to analyze the results of 13F, making it clear that what is decided in Castilla y León goes far beyond the limits of the community.

Sánchez urges the PP to “break” with Vox in all communities: “If they say that the extreme right is a danger, maybe we can understand each other”

Thus, Sánchez has snapped at the leader of the PP in the Senate, Javier Maroto: “If you want to ask for the PSOE to abstain, explain why you want the PSOE to abstain, explain why Vox is a danger to democracy and that a cordon sanitaire must be put in place“. And after that affirmation, he has asked him to “break his agreements” in the communities where the PP governs with the support “of the extreme right”.

Married, meeting with all his ‘barons’, he has established the party’s position on this matter, without referring to that possible abstention of the PSOE, that the PP has not yet asked the socialists firmly. In fact, it has been the socialist mayors Óscar Puente -Valladolid- and José Antonio Diez -León-, and not the PP, who have raised the issue for debate since they do see this option favorably to prevent Vox from entering the Council.

The PP leader has been harsh with Vox, without mentioning it throughout the speech. He has rejected the “extremes” and “populisms” and has made it clear that the PP has “limits to agree” and that its “principles” are its “conditions” and among them it has cited “equality, territorial cohesion and integrity autonomy” as “non-negotiable”.

Casado supports Mañueco for a “stable” government “without the sword of Damocles”

Casado has thus said that to aspire to a social majority, not to a “balance of radicalized minorities”and has launched a direct dart at the Abascal formation by pointing out that “some are more concerned with replacing the PP than with ending this bad government.”

The PP could seek in Castilla y León a pact with minor formations- UPL (with three attorneys), Soria NOW! (with three others), Ciudadanos and Por Ávila, with one each – to add more votes, but with all of them he adds 39 and does not reach the absolute majority of 41, so he would still need other forces to be invested and be able to govern. And furthermore, some of that support seems complicated with a Francisco Igea who said during the campaign that “never, ever, would I make Mañueco president.”

Mañueco rejects a “weak and fractured” government with Vox

Mañueco himself, who had shown some ambiguity in relation to a government with Vox, raised the tone this Tuesday to also close the door to a possible coalition government. Before his Autonomous Board of Directors, he has been very forceful to outright reject the option of a joint government with Abascal’s party, to which he has made it clear that he will not take “one step back in terms of equality”, along the same lines as what Casado said. He has said that he wants a government “strong and with one voice” and rejects a “weak and fractured” coalition executive.

He opens up to talk about programs, but not about armchairs. “Those who do numbers without talking about projects are wrong” and those who “they want to equate the current situation to three years ago because now the PP has won the elections“The current regional president refers to Vox’s claim to negotiate a joint government in the same terms that Ciudadanos did after the 2019 elections, that is, with the vice presidency and four ministries. Then, the socialist Luis Tudanca won the elections and Mañueco had to close a joint government with the orange formation in order to govern, but now the ‘popular’ believes that the situation is different because the PP is the “clear winner”.

Abascal: “He advances towards the electoral repetition if he intends blackmail”

Facing Mañueco, Vox for the moment maintains that it wants to govern, that its voters “are no less than those of Ciudadanos” and asks the PP what it fears from a coalition government.

It has been Abascal himself who, in an interview on Esradio, has insisted that in no way his party – which shot up to 13 prosecutors climbing to third position – is going to give its support “for free” to Mañueco and has warned him that if he maintains what he considers “blackmail” he advances towards electoral repetition.

After Casado’s speech, party sources have assured TVE that they have no red lines, but insist on having a “weight and presence” in the Mañueco Executive, which the PP for the time being denies them. “We are going to continue to the last consequences, to the end with our demands. If elections have to be repeated, let them be repeated. We are not afraid of an electoral repetition.”

From Vox they maintain their “duty and right” to demand to enter that government, just as Ciudadanos did in the last legislature, with one less attorney. Then Mañueco did not hesitate to agree with Francisco Igea the vice presidency and four ministries.

Thus, Mañueco will shortly begin a round of contacts with all the parties represented in the Cortes, without exception, and from there it will be seen if someone moves towards more possible positions or the crossed vetoes that make the investiture impossible are maintained. of the ‘popular’.

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George Holan

George Holan is chief editor at Plainsmen Post and has articles published in many notable publications in the last decade.

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